Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
40.07% ( -0.43)	23.91% ( -0.06)	36.01% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 61.67% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.44% (

0.38)

40.56% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.06% (

0.39)

62.94% (

-0.39)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

-0.03)

20.46% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.07% (

-0.05)

52.93% (

0.05)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

0.43)

22.47% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.98% (

0.64)

56.01% (

-0.64)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 40.07%

Jong FC Utrecht 36.01%

Draw 23.91%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	Jong FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 40.07%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91%	1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.01%