Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Polman Stadion
Heracles6 - 1Jong Utrecht
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Heracles and Jong FC Utrecht.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 1-0 Heracles
Friday, January 27 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, January 27 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 1-1 De Graafschap
Monday, January 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Monday, January 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Jong FC Utrecht |
61.76% ( -0.4) | 19.87% ( 0.09) | 18.37% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.54% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
