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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 25
Feb 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Toekomst

Jong Ajax
4 - 2
MVV

Fitz-Jim (5'), Conceicao (8'), Godts (51'), Banel (90+4')
Gooijer (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Blummel (31'), Steuckers (65')
Remans (21'), Blummel (47'), Essers (83'), Waem (84')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong Ajax and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Den Bosch 4-2 Jong Ajax
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 0-2 Heracles
Monday, February 13 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 21.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.52%) and 3-1 (7.04%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong AjaxDrawMVV Maastricht
58.69% (1.699 1.7) 20.06% (-0.622 -0.62) 21.25% (-1.078 -1.08)
Both teams to score 64.04% (0.705 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.55% (1.602 1.6)32.45% (-1.604 -1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.91% (1.836 1.84)54.09% (-1.837 -1.84)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.02% (0.961 0.96)10.97% (-0.962 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.78% (2.082 2.08)35.22% (-2.083 -2.08)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.06% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.27% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.73% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Jong Ajax 58.69%
    MVV Maastricht 21.25%
    Draw 20.06%
Jong AjaxDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.223 0.22)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.318 -0.32)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.173 0.17)
3-2 @ 4.47% (0.143 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.89% (0.266 0.27)
4-0 @ 3.06% (0.208 0.21)
4-2 @ 2.47% (0.17 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.178 0.18)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.14 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.09% (0.113 0.11)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 58.69%
1-1 @ 8.65% (-0.401 -0.4)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.08% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-1 @ 3.91% (-0.344 -0.34)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Jong Ajax vs MVV

Jong Ajax
57.9%
Draw
21.1%
MVV Maastricht
21.1%
19
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
MVV
4-1
Jong Ajax
Remans (10'), Blummel (28'), Kostons (68'), Van Bommel (85')
Dzepar (56')
Misehouy (53')
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
MVV
1-0
Jong Ajax
Ntelo (39')
Souren (45'), Alberg (65'), Zeegers (71')

Baas (24'), Fitz-Jim (45+1'), (71')
Sep 27, 2021 7pm
Jong Ajax
3-1
MVV
Danilo (33' pen., 60'), Unuvar (45+1')
Hillen (20'), Rensch (22')
Dzepar (90+4')
Zeegers (30')
Mar 19, 2021 7pm
Jong Ajax
4-3
MVV
Unuvar (12'), Musampa (39'), Martha (53'), Hansen (76')
Baas (37')
Naudts (29', 87'), Mickels (63')
Oct 23, 2020 5.45pm
MVV
1-5
Jong Ajax
Deom (25')
Heerings (63'), Van Acker (90+1')
De Waal (27'), Rensch (51'), Musampa (62'), Giovanni (67'), Unuvar (79')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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