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NAC Breda
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

NAC Breda
4 - 1
MVV

Mar Omarsson (21', 45', 86'), van der Sande (43')
Besselink (33')
FT(HT: 3-1)
van Bommel (34')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between NAC Breda and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong PSV 1-2 NAC Breda
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: MVV 0-1 VVV-Venlo
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
NAC BredaDrawMVV Maastricht
62.43% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 20.22% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 17.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 56.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)39.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.15% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)61.85% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)37.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86%36.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08%72.92%
Score Analysis
    NAC Breda 62.43%
    MVV Maastricht 17.34%
    Draw 20.22%
NAC BredaDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 6.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.55%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.56%
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 62.43%
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05%
0-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.22%
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 17.34%

How you voted: NAC Breda vs MVV

NAC Breda
54.5%
Draw
27.3%
MVV Maastricht
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2022 7pm
MVV
3-1
NAC Breda
Kostons (9'), Remans (12' pen.), Van Bommel (66')
Kostons (45'), Zeegers (47')
Van der Sande (71')
Velthuis (11'), Plat (30')
Mar 4, 2022 7pm
MVV
1-2
NAC Breda
Kastrati (80')
Bannis (32'), Velanas (69')
Rutten (39'), de Rooij (89'), Banzuzi (90+6')
Oct 22, 2021 7.10pm
NAC Breda
3-0
MVV
Seuntjens (13'), Kotzebue (17'), Van Schuppen (69')

Essers (40')
May 7, 2021 7pm
NAC Breda
2-0
MVV
El Allouchi (29' pen., 78')
Adilehou (5'), Hendriks (52')

Mares (10'), Angiulli (32')
Nov 6, 2020 5.45pm
MVV
1-4
NAC Breda
Kostons (22')
Martina (24')
Van Hooijdonk (24' pen.), Dogan (41'), Immers (46'), Buffonge (90+1')
Bilate (87')
rhs 2.0
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