Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 23.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.