MX23RW : Friday, November 22 08:14:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt
Heracles Almelo

MVV
0 - 2
Heracles


Souren (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ouahim (3', 54')
Hoogma (67'), Ouahim (70'), Bruns (77')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Heracles.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MVV 5-1 Oss
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: VVV-Venlo 3-1 Heracles
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 23.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawHeracles
23.98% (3.109 3.11) 22.57% (0.765 0.77) 53.45% (-3.869 -3.87)
Both teams to score 58.68% (1.647 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.88% (0.209 0.21)41.12% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.48% (0.212 0.21)63.52% (-0.208 -0.21)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (2.883 2.88)30.64% (-2.879 -2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (3.278 3.28)66.88% (-3.274 -3.27)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.6% (-1.188 -1.19)15.4% (1.192 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.79% (-2.274 -2.27)44.21% (2.278 2.28)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 23.98%
    Heracles 53.45%
    Draw 22.57%
MVV MaastrichtDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 6.18% (0.624 0.62)
1-0 @ 5.58% (0.376 0.38)
2-0 @ 3.3% (0.456 0.46)
3-1 @ 2.44% (0.412 0.41)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.304 0.3)
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.265 0.27)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 23.98%
1-1 @ 10.44% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.466 -0.47)
0-2 @ 8.26% (-0.81 -0.81)
1-3 @ 6.09% (-0.356 -0.36)
0-3 @ 5.15% (-0.749 -0.75)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.85% (-0.296 -0.3)
0-4 @ 2.41% (-0.469 -0.47)
2-4 @ 1.69% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.07% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-5 @ 0.9% (-0.222 -0.22)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 53.45%

How you voted: MVV vs Heracles

MVV Maastricht
30.8%
Draw
34.6%
Heracles
34.6%
26
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 7pm
Heracles
2-2
MVV
Hansson (73', 90+2')
Vejinovic (49'), Ouahim (90+3')
Steuckers (20'), Souren (65')
Dzepar (48'), Remans (80'), van Bommel (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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10ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag145632317621
11Roda JC145541519-420
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13FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven154471524-916
14TOP OssOss144461124-1316
15Jong PSVJong PSV144282125-414
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