Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 15
Nov 19, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
De Geusselt
MVV1 - 4NAC Breda
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and NAC Breda.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oss 0-1 MVV
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-1 Jong Ajax
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | NAC Breda |
27.51% ( -0.23) | 23.54% ( -0.02) | 48.94% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 58.88% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.53% ( -0.07) | 42.46% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.13% ( -0.07) | 64.87% ( 0.07) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( -0.21) | 28.62% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.57% ( -0.26) | 64.43% ( 0.26) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( 0.07) | 17.51% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.98% ( 0.12) | 48.01% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
MVV Maastricht 27.51%
NAC Breda 48.95%
Draw 23.54%
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 27.51% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 3.84% Total : 48.95% |
Head to Head
May 27, 2023 7pm
First Round 2nd Leg
MVV
1-4
NAC Breda
Rocha (68')
Zeegers (56'), van Bommel (74')
Zeegers (56'), van Bommel (74')
Mar Omarsson (20'), Agougil (29'), Banzuzi (38'), Herrmann (90+3')
Garcia McNulty (57'), Staring (70')
Kortsmit (83')
Garcia McNulty (57'), Staring (70')
Kortsmit (83')
May 23, 2023 8pm
Mar 10, 2023 7pm
Aug 15, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 2
MVV
3-1
NAC Breda
Kostons (9'), Remans (12' pen.), Van Bommel (66')
Kostons (45'), Zeegers (47')
Kostons (45'), Zeegers (47')
Mar 4, 2022 7pm
