Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	MVV Maastricht
40.21% ( -0.27)	24.04% ( 0.14)	35.75% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 61.14% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.77% (

-0.67)

41.23% (

0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.37% (

-0.69)

63.62% (

0.69)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31% (

-0.41)

20.69% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.72% (

-0.65)

53.28% (

0.65)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.08% (

-0.24)

22.91% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.32% (

-0.36)

56.67% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Jong FC Utrecht 40.21%

MVV Maastricht 35.75%

Draw 24.04%

Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 40.21%	1-1 @ 11% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.04%	1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.75%