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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 37
May 12, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
2 - 1
Telstar

Steuckers (12'), van Bommel (20')
Kostons (62'), Rocha (86'), Souren (88'), van Bommel (89'), Vijgen (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Plet (80')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Telstar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: De Graafschap 2-1 MVV
Friday, May 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 0-0 Willem II
Friday, May 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawTelstar
40.99% (-0.132 -0.13) 24.23% (-0.02 -0.02) 34.78% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 60.27% (0.105 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72% (0.121 0.12)42.27% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (0.123 0.12)64.68% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)20.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)53.41% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.139 0.14)23.92% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.201 0.2)58.14% (-0.208 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 40.99%
    Telstar 34.78%
    Draw 24.23%
MVV MaastrichtDrawTelstar
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 40.99%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.78%

How you voted: MVV vs Telstar

MVV Maastricht
25.0%
Draw
50.0%
Telstar
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7pm
gameweek 18
Telstar
5-3
MVV
Giousis (20'), Smit (28', 34', 49'), Plet (87')
Steuckers (24'), Kostons (56'), Van Helden (60')
Van Helden (51')
Jan 14, 2022 7pm
gameweek 22
Telstar
2-1
MVV
Plet (8'), Aktas (26')
Molenaar (73'), Smit (90+1')
Essers (90+1')
Essers (45+2'), Dzepar (45+2'), Zeegers (63'), Delferriere (75'), Mami (90+3')
Sep 5, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 5
MVV
3-0
Telstar
Remans (13', 22'), Blummel (39')
Kleinen (11'), Zeegers (34')

Kokcu (54')
Feb 26, 2021 5.45pm
gameweek 26
MVV
2-0
Telstar
Surmeli (50'), Angiulli (90+5')
Surmeli (54')

van Wetten (18'), Adshead (48'), F (86'), Pattynama (90+1')
Sep 13, 2020 7pm
gameweek 3
Telstar
1-2
MVV
Plet (64')
Vandermeulen (42')
Duin (42' pen.), Kostons (89')
Heerings (52'), Lathouwers (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior1492332181429
2Helmond SportHelmond148332217527
3De GraafschapDe Graafschap1475233221126
4FC VolendamVolendam1482432221026
5Den BoschDen Bosch1474326141225
6Dordrecht147432418625
7EmmenEmmen147342417724
8TelstarTelstar155732316722
9Cambuur147161512322
10ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag145632317621
11Roda JC145541519-420
12Jong AZJong AZ145272427-317
13TOP OssOss144461124-1316
14FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven144371423-915
15Jong PSVJong PSV144282125-414
16Jong AjaxJong Ajax142661417-312
17MVV MaastrichtMVV142661723-612
18VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo1532101329-1611
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht141581328-158
20Vitesse142661826-86


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