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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 32
Apr 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
Rabobank IJmond Stadion

Telstar
2 - 3
Jong Ajax

Plet (72', 90+5')
Apau (39'), Soares (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martha (28'), Fitz-Jim (57'), Misehouy (77')
Fitz-Jim (45+2'), Martha (55'), de Graaff (87')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Telstar and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 3-1 Telstar
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Jong Ajax 4-1 Dordrecht
Monday, April 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
TelstarDrawJong Ajax
50.62% (0.393 0.39) 22.45% (-0.146 -0.15) 26.92% (-0.246 -0.25)
Both teams to score 62.26% (0.295 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.22% (0.489 0.49)37.78% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.97% (0.521 0.52)60.03% (-0.521 -0.52)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83% (0.31099999999999 0.31)15.17% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.22% (0.584 0.58)43.77% (-0.585 -0.59)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08)26.61% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (0.107 0.11)61.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Telstar 50.62%
    Jong Ajax 26.92%
    Draw 22.44%
TelstarDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.87% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 50.62%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 26.92%

Head to Head
Aug 8, 2022 7pm
Jong Ajax
1-1
Telstar
Conceicao (41')
Warmerdam (25'), Pierie (78')
Blommestijn (3')
Overtoom (57'), Najah (77'), Blommestijn (80')
Jan 23, 2022 1.30pm
Telstar
1-0
Jong Ajax
Smit (26')
Tugarinov (45+1'), Aktas (59'), Vlijter (69'), van Velzen (90+7')

Yah (72'), Banel (88')
Nov 1, 2021 7pm
May 12, 2021 7pm
Telstar
1-2
Jong Ajax
Bronkhorst (48')
Vandermeulen (20')
Van Mieghem (42'), Van Gelderen (59')
Fitz-Jim (45+5'), Douglas (68')
Dec 21, 2020 8pm
Jong Ajax
1-2
Telstar
Martha (11')
Musampa (30'), Baas (43')
Bande (48')
Fernandes (54'), Van Wetten (84')
Najah (45+1'), Bronkhorst (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC VolendamVolendam20124444251940
2SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior20116339201939
3Dordrecht2010643729836
4Den BoschDen Bosch2096534221233
5De GraafschapDe Graafschap209564132932
6Cambuur2010282819932
7EmmenEmmen209563224832
8ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag208753325831
9Helmond SportHelmond209472930-131
10Roda JC198652524130
11TelstarTelstar206863129226
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven207582833-526
13MVV MaastrichtMVV205873032-223
14Jong AZJong AZ2064103338-522
15TOP OssOss205781633-1722
16Jong PSVJong PSV2063113339-621
17Jong AjaxJong Ajax194692024-418
18VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo2044121836-1816
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht2027111939-2013
20Vitesse204792845-17-8


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