Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.