Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.