Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 51.59%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.