Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
