Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 9

Oct 6, 2023 at 7pm UK

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II
4 - 2
De Graafschap

Hillen (28' og.), Bokila (77', 79'), de Waal (83')
Thor Sigurgeirsson (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Onal (22'), Colyn (58')
Warmerdam (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Willem II and De Graafschap.

Form, Standings, Stats

Willem II

All competitions

Last Game: Willem II 2-1 Oss
Tuesday, October 3 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

De Graafschap

All competitions

Last Game: De Graafschap 0-0 Roda JC
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 56.03%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 22.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.

Result
Willem II	Draw	De Graafschap
56.03% ( 2.8)	21.74% ( -0.81)	22.24% ( -1.99)

Both teams to score 59.33% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.77% (

1.54)

39.23% (

-1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.43% (

1.6)

61.56% (

-1.6)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.09% (

1.44)

13.91% (

-1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.65% (

2.77)

41.35% (

-2.77)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

-0.83)

31.08% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6% (

-0.98)

67.4% (

0.98)

Score Analysis

Willem II 56.03%

De Graafschap 22.24%

Draw 21.74%

Willem II	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.37) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.33) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.34) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.19) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.39% Total : 56.03%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.74%	1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.5) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.75% Total : 22.24%