Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and De Graafschap.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Den Bosch 3-2 MVV
Friday, September 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, September 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: De Graafschap 2-1 Helmond
Monday, September 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Monday, September 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.
Result | ||
MVV Maastricht | Draw | De Graafschap |
27.9% ( -0.07) | 23.19% ( 0.07) | 48.91% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 60.46% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.48% ( -0.37) | 40.51% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.1% ( -0.38) | 62.89% ( 0.38) |
MVV Maastricht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% ( -0.23) | 27.34% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.2% ( -0.3) | 62.79% ( 0.31) |
De Graafschap Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.21% ( -0.14) | 16.78% ( 0.14) |