Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	De Graafschap
27.9% ( -0.07)	23.19% ( 0.07)	48.91% ( 0)

Both teams to score 60.46% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.48% (

-0.37)

40.51% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.1% (

-0.38)

62.89% (

0.38)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66% (

-0.23)

27.34% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.2% (

-0.3)

62.79% (

0.31)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.21% (

-0.14)

16.78% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.26% (

-0.25)

46.74% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 27.9%

De Graafschap 48.91%

Draw 23.19%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.9%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.21% Total : 48.91%