EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Man City2 - 0Chelsea
The Match
Match Report
Riyad Mahrez and Julian Alvarez are both on target to help Manchester City beat Chelsea 2-0 and progress to the fourth round of the EFL Cup.
Team News
Lewis Hall and Armando Broja both start for Chelsea in Wednesday's EFL Cup third round tie at Manchester City.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Manchester City and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Manchester City.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash with Manchester City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Fulham
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in Premier League
Sunday, November 6 at 12pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.46%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Chelsea |
52.51% ( -0.29) | 20.72% ( 0.02) | 26.77% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 68.66% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.62% ( 0.13) | 29.38% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.56% ( 0.16) | 50.44% ( -0.17) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.35% ( -0.04) | 11.65% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.31% ( -0.07) | 36.69% ( 0.07) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( 0.24) | 22.29% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.25% ( 0.36) | 55.75% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
Manchester City 52.51%
Chelsea 26.77%
Draw 20.72%
| Manchester City | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.61% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.12% 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 52.51% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.72% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 26.77% |
How you voted: Man City vs Chelsea
Manchester City
77.1%Chelsea
22.9%231
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Sep 25, 2021 12.30pm
May 29, 2021 8pm
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
Form Guide
Build-up
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2 years ago
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2 years ago
Chelsea 'block Omari Hutchinson Jamaica call-up ahead of Manchester City tie'
Chelsea reportedly tell Omari Hutchinson not to join up with the Jamaica squad ahead of their EFL Cup third-round tie with Manchester City on Wednesday night.
2 years ago
Chelsea team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Manchester City
Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash with Manchester City.
2 years ago
How Chelsea could line up against Manchester City
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Manchester City.
2 years ago
How Manchester City could line up against Chelsea
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Chelsea.
2 years ago
Manchester City team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Chelsea
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Chelsea.
2 years ago
