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Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Brighton logo

Man City
3 - 1
Brighton

Braut Haaland (22', 43' pen.), De Bruyne (75')
Mahrez (54')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Trossard (53')
Caicedo (26'), Gross (61'), Estupinan (74')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League fixture against Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Premier League

We said: Manchester City 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion

Guardiola will be looking for a response from his Man City players following last weekend's defeat, and the Citizens will be regarded as strong favourites to claim maximum points on Saturday, although Brighton's threat cannot be underestimated. Only Crystal Palace have tested City on home soil in the Premier League so far this season, albeit still losing 4-2, and unless Brighton can rediscover their clinical touch in front of goal, the reigning champions should have few problems in securing another routine victory at the Etihad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 79.02%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 8.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
79.02% (0.639 0.64) 12.67% (-0.249 -0.25) 8.3% (-0.3951 -0.4)
Both teams to score 56.61% (-0.892 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.51% (-0.173 -0.17)25.48% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.45% (-0.223 -0.22)45.54% (0.217 0.22)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.92% (0.064999999999998 0.06)5.07% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.8% (0.20400000000001 0.2)20.19% (-0.208 -0.21)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (-0.985 -0.98)40.36% (0.98 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (-0.903 -0.9)76.98% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 79.02%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 8.3%
    Draw 12.67%
Manchester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.181 0.18)
3-0 @ 9.04% (0.221 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 8.2% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 6.74% (0.195 0.2)
4-1 @ 6.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.1% (0.094 0.09)
5-0 @ 4.02% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.72% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-1 @ 3.65% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.77% (-0.068 -0.07)
6-0 @ 2% (0.075 0.08)
6-1 @ 1.81% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 5.85%
Total : 79.02%
1-1 @ 5.54% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.05% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 12.67%
1-2 @ 2.51% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-1 @ 1.86% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 8.3%

How you voted: Man City vs Brighton

Manchester City
84.4%
Draw
7.3%
Brighton & Hove Albion
8.4%
262
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Man City
3-0
Brighton
Mahrez (53'), Foden (65'), Silva (82')

Mac Allister (79'), Webster (81'), Dunk (89')
Oct 23, 2021 5.30pm
Brighton
1-4
Man City
Mac Allister (81' pen.)
Moder (63'), Lallana (70')
Gundogan (13'), Foden (28', 31'), Mahrez (90+5')
Walker (22'), Cancelo (60'), Ederson (84')
May 18, 2021 7pm
Brighton
3-2
Man City
Trossard (50'), Webster (72'), Burn (76')
Jahanbakhsh (27'), Webster (90+3'), Sanchez (90+5')
Gundogan (2'), Foden (48')
Silva (73'), Rodri (79'), Fernandinho (82')
Cancelo (10')
Jan 13, 2021 6pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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