We said: Manchester City 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion
Guardiola will be looking for a response from his Man City players following last weekend's defeat, and the Citizens will be regarded as strong favourites to claim maximum points on Saturday, although Brighton's threat cannot be underestimated.
Only Crystal Palace have tested City on home soil in the Premier League so far this season, albeit still losing 4-2, and unless Brighton can rediscover their clinical touch in front of goal, the reigning champions should have few problems in securing another routine victory at the Etihad.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 79.02%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 8.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.54%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.