Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.16%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 5.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 4-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.38%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.