Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.