EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Third Round

Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
2 - 0
Morecambe

O'Hora (18'), Dennis (51')
Eisa (22')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Watts (35'), Gibson (83')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between MK Dons and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: MK Dons 6-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Morecambe
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Morecambe

Buoyed by their thumping FA Cup success and enjoying the golden touch in defence in recent weeks, the stage is set for MK Dons to reach the fourth round of the EFL Cup. The Dons have already taught Morecambe one footballing lesson this term, and the Shrimps' poor away form should rear its ugly head in a miserable day for the travelling fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for MK Dons in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for MK Dons.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Morecambe
59.9% ( -0.04)	21.97% ( 0)	18.13% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.76% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.96% (

0.06)

46.04% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.65% (

0.05)

68.34% (

-0.05)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.04% (

0.01)

14.96% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.62% (

0.01)

43.38% (

-0.01)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.86% (

0.08)

39.13% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.15% (

0.07)

75.85% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 59.9%

Morecambe 18.13%

Draw 21.96%

MK Dons	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 59.9%	1-1 @ 10.43% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.96%	0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.13%