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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
42.75% ( 0.16) | 26.64% ( -0.01) | 30.61% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 50.75% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46% ( -0.03) | 54% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.56% ( -0.03) | 75.43% ( 0.02) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.98% ( 0.06) | 25.02% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.31% ( 0.09) | 59.68% ( -0.09) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.68% ( -0.13) | 32.32% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.18% ( -0.14) | 68.82% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 42.74% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |