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Watford logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
MK Dons

Watford
0 - 2
MK Dons

FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (45'), Burns (53')
O'Hora (45+5'), Devoy (76'), Oyegoke (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Watford and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 2-0 MK Dons

While they have not been all that successful against the top sides in England over the past few seasons, Watford have a lot more experience playing high-calibre teams. We believe the Dons will have difficulty penetrating a Hornets side who have shown tremendous poise and continuity on the defensive side this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawMK Dons
47.51% (0.0039999999999978 0) 24.64%27.85% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.12% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.36% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)52.03%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)30.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Watford 47.51%
    MK Dons 27.85%
    Draw 24.64%
WatfordDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.51%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.22%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 27.85%

How you voted: Watford vs MK Dons

Watford
87.2%
Draw
12.8%
MK Dons
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Dec 4, 1999 3pm
MK Dons
5-0
Watford
Gayle (78'), Euell (67'), Earle (32'), Hartson (61'), Cort (15')
Aug 7, 1999 3pm
Watford
2-3
MK Dons
Kennedy (17' pen.), Ngonge (71')
Johnson (78' og.), Gayle (28'), Cort (10')
Blackwell (17')
rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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