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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Morecambe |
46.76% ( -1.85) | 26% ( 0.27) | 27.24% ( 1.58) |
Both teams to score 50.72% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.91% ( 0.01) | 53.09% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.33% ( 0.01) | 74.67% ( -0.01) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.31% ( -0.83) | 22.68% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.66% ( -1.24) | 56.34% ( 1.24) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.6% ( 1.31) | 34.4% ( -1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.89% ( 1.37) | 71.11% ( -1.37) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.44) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.33) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.99% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |