League One

League One | Gameweek 8

Nov 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
1 - 1
Derby

Weir (45+2')
Watts (53'), Ripley (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sibley (59')
McGoldrick (41'), Cashin (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Morecambe and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 4-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Morecambe 0-2 Derby County

Derby County have not been convincing on the road so far this season but after scoring four on the weekend Warne's men will be confident in dealing with a struggling Morecambe at the Mazuma Stadium. Morecambe have a poor goalscoring record at home this year and it is hard to see a way that Adams's side get back into the clash if the Rams were to score first on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Derby County
19.43% ( 0.03)	23.6% ( 0.02)	56.97% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.98% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.09% (

-0.05)

50.91% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.21% (

-0.05)

72.79% (

0.05)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.49% (

40.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.89% (

77.11% (

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.33% (

-0.04)

17.67% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.71% (

-0.07)

48.29% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 19.43%

Derby County 56.96%

Draw 23.6%

Morecambe	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.13% Total : 19.43%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.6%	0-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.62% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.96%