Plymouth2 - 0Leyton Orient
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Leyton Orient
With both managers likely to make wholesale changes for this match, it could be an open match at Home Park, with plenty of mistakes and a lack of match fitness on display. However, the hosts should be able to call upon greater strength in depth having signed some quality first-team players during the summer transfer window, and we expect them to narrowly progress to the second round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Leyton Orient |
52.46% ( 0.37) | 24.34% ( -0.1) | 23.19% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
