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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
43.59% ( 0.12) | 27.69% ( 0.01) | 28.72% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 46.78% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.38% ( -0.1) | 58.61% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.83% ( -0.08) | 79.17% ( 0.08) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.31% ( 0.01) | 26.69% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.05% ( 0.02) | 61.94% ( -0.02) |
Leyton Orient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.81% ( -0.16) | 36.18% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.03% ( -0.16) | 72.96% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Leyton Orient |
1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.58% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 28.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 46 |
3 | Port Vale | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 44 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
5 | Notts County | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
6 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
7 | Salford City | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 35 |
11 | Bromley | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 34 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 33 |
14 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
16 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 28 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 26 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
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