EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Bramall Lane

Sheff Utd
2 - 1
Derby

Freeman (53'), Sharp (76')
Osborn (43'), Fleck (74'), Freeman (83'), Robinson (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sibley (44')

Slavisa Jokanovic pleased to see Sheffield United claim comeback win over Derby

Billy Sharp netted a second-half winner.

Aug 24, 22:50

The Match

Match Report

Substitute Billy Sharp scored the winner after Luke Freeman cancelled out Louie Sibley's opener.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Sheffield United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 27.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield United	Draw	Derby County
43.8%	29.08%	27.12%

Both teams to score 42.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.14%

63.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.91%

83.09%

Sheffield United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91%

29.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35%

65%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.58%

40.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.96%

77.03%

Score Analysis

Sheffield United 43.79%

Derby County 27.12%

Draw 29.07%

Sheffield United	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 14.51% 2-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 8.12% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-1 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.47% Total : 43.79%	1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.07%	0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.33% Total : 27.12%