Spurs
0 - 1
Chelsea

Thomas Tuchel: Chelsea "lost concentration" during EFL Cup win over Spurs

Chelsea head coach Thomas Tuchel during the EFL Cup tie with Tottenham Hotspur on January 12, 2022.

Head coach Thomas Tuchel feels that his Chelsea side "lost concentration" once they had opened up a 3-0 aggregate lead over Tottenham Hotspur in the EFL Cup semi-finals.

The Match

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 1-2 Chelsea (Chelsea win 4-1 on aggregate)

There are no two ways about it - any lack of urgency or ruthlessness from this Tottenham side will prove fatal, and Conte ought to send his side out there to attack a Chelsea backline that is far from impenetrable. However, having to call upon the big hitters from the bench to beat Morecambe does not bode well for the hosts, and we expect Chelsea to see the job through and book their tickets to Wembley. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Chelsea
35.94%	26.43%	37.62%

Both teams to score 52.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.96%

52.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.23%

73.77%

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.14%

27.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.54%

63.45%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12%

26.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.81%

62.19%

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 35.94%

Chelsea 37.62%

Draw 26.43%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 9.57% 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 6.12% 3-1 @ 3.42% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.94%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.62%

How you voted: Spurs vs Chelsea

Tottenham Hotspur

21.2%

Draw

15.3%

Chelsea

63.5%

Head to Head

Jan 5, 2022 7.45pm

Semi-Finals 1st Leg

2-0

Havertz (5'), Davies (34' og.)
Sarr (62')

> Preview

Sep 19, 2021 4.30pm

Gameweek 5

0-3

Silva (49'), Kante (57'), Rudiger (90+2')
Werner (80')

> Match Report

Aug 4, 2021 7.45pm

Pre-season Friendlies

2-2

Ziyech (16', 49')

Moura (56'), Bergwijn (70')

> Preview

Feb 4, 2021 8pm

Gameweek 22

0-1

Alderweireld (50'), Hojbjerg (63')

Jorginho (24' pen.)
Pulisic (79'), Kante (81'), Azpilicueta (88')

> Match Report

Nov 29, 2020 4.30pm

Gameweek 10

0-0

Thiago Silva, N'Golo Kante return to Chelsea training

Ziyech (29'), James (53'), Zouma (55'), Mount (76')

Bergwijn (50'), Reguilon (89')

Form Guide

Southampton 1-1 Spurs

Spurs 3-0 Crystal Palace

Spurs 2-1 West Ham

Chelsea 5-1 Chesterfield

Chelsea 2-0 Spurs

Chelsea 2-2 Liverpool

Chelsea 1-1 Brighton

Aston Villa 1-3 Chelsea

Brentford 0-2 Chelsea

Build-up

Chelsea's Thiago Silva pictured in December 2021

Chelsea pair Thiago Silva and N'Golo Kante both record negative coronavirus tests in order to secure a return to training on Tuesday.

Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel 'unlikely to gamble' on Thiago Silva, N'Golo Kante

N'Golo Kante warms up for Chelsea on November 23, 2021

Head coach Thomas Tuchel suggests that he is unlikely to take any risks on Thiago Silva and N'Golo Kante against Tottenham Hotspur in the EFL Cup.

Tottenham team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Chelsea

Son Heung-min in action for Tottenham Hotspur in January 2021

Sports Mole rounds up all of Tottenham Hotspur's injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Chelsea.

How Chelsea could line up against Tottenham Hotspur

Chelsea celebrate scoring a goal against Chesterfield in the FA Cup third round on January 8, 2022

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Tottenham Hotspur.

How Tottenham Hotspur could line up against Chelsea

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Tottenham Hotspur could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Chelsea.

Chelsea team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Tottenham Hotspur

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Tottenham Hotspur.