EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Prenton Park

Tranmere
1 - 2
Newcastle

Nevitt (21')
Hemmings (45+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lascelles (40'), Wood (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Tranmere Rovers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

Last Six:

Last Game: Newcastle 3-3 Man City
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Brighton & Hove Albion	3	3	7
6	Newcastle United	3	2	5
7	Fulham	3	1	5

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-4 Newcastle United

Tranmere will naturally take encouragement from Howe almost certainly making widespread changes to his starting lineup. Nevertheless, this is a united Newcastle group who will want to impress, and we are backing the Magpies to run away with this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Newcastle United
28.53% ( 0.45)	24.24% ( 0.03)	47.23% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 57.29% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.09% (

0.17)

44.91% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.73% (

0.16)

67.27% (

-0.16)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.85% (

0.41)

29.15% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.92% (

0.5)

65.08% (

-0.5)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.86% (

-0.13)

19.14% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.22% (

-0.21)

50.78% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Tranmere Rovers 28.53%

Newcastle United 47.23%

Draw 24.24%

Tranmere Rovers	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.41% Total : 28.53%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 47.23%