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EFL Cup
Tranmere Rovers
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Newcastle logo

Tranmere
1 - 2
Newcastle

Nevitt (21')
Hemmings (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lascelles (40'), Wood (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Tranmere Rovers and Newcastle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

Last Six:
Last Game: Newport 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two

Newcastle United

Last Six:
Last Game: Newcastle 3-3 Man City
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in Premier League

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-4 Newcastle United

 Tranmere will naturally take encouragement from Howe almost certainly making widespread changes to his starting lineup. Nevertheless, this is a united Newcastle group who will want to impress, and we are backing the Magpies to run away with this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawNewcastle United
28.53% (0.45 0.45) 24.24% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 47.23% (-0.479 -0.48)
Both teams to score 57.29% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.09% (0.167 0.17)44.91% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.73% (0.162 0.16)67.27% (-0.161 -0.16)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (0.40900000000001 0.41)29.15% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.92% (0.501 0.5)65.08% (-0.503 -0.5)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86% (-0.129 -0.13)19.14% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22% (-0.214 -0.21)50.78% (0.213 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 28.53%
    Newcastle United 47.23%
    Draw 24.24%
Tranmere RoversDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.88% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.24% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.88% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 28.53%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.105 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.63% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.2% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 47.23%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Newcastle

Tranmere Rovers
18.8%
Draw
0.0%
Newcastle United
81.3%
16
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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