Having started with maximum points, a certain level of pressure has been taken off the shoulders of these two teams. However, we expect a hugely competitive encounter between sides heading in the right direction, leaving us to predict a share of the spoils playing out on the South Coast.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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