EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford1 - 3Stoke
The Match
Match Report
The Potters are in the fourth round of the Carabao Cup for a third season in succession.
Team News
The hosts are set to make a host of changes.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Stoke City |
| 40.06% | 26.56% | 33.39% |
| Both teams to score 51.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% | 52.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.5% | 74.5% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.08% | 25.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.08% | 60.93% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% | 29.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.05% | 65.96% |
| Score Analysis |
Watford 40.05%
Stoke City 33.39%
Draw 26.56%
| Watford | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.05% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.08% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.39% Total : 33.39% |
How you voted: Watford vs Stoke
Watford
75.0%Draw
13.8%Stoke City
11.2%116
