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EFL Cup
Watford logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
1 - 3
Stoke

Fletcher (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

The Potters are in the fourth round of the Carabao Cup for a third season in succession.

Team News

The hosts are set to make a host of changes.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
40.06%26.56%33.39%
Both teams to score 51.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11%52.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5%74.5%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08%25.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08%60.93%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14%29.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.05%65.96%
Score Analysis
    Watford 40.05%
    Stoke City 33.39%
    Draw 26.56%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.05%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.36%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 33.39%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
75.0%
Draw
13.8%
Stoke City
11.2%
116
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
> Match Report
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
> Match Report
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford
Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')
Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
> Match Report
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
> Match Report
Jan 3, 2017 8pm
Stoke
2-0
Watford
Shawcross (45'), Crouch (49')
Biram Diouf (19')

Doucoure (76'), Kabasele (91')
> Match Report
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
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5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133
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