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Watford logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
1 - 3
Stoke

Fletcher (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

The Potters are in the fourth round of the Carabao Cup for a third season in succession.

Team News

The hosts are set to make a host of changes.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
40.06%26.56%33.39%
Both teams to score 51.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11%52.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5%74.5%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08%25.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08%60.93%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14%29.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.05%65.96%
Score Analysis
    Watford 40.05%
    Stoke City 33.39%
    Draw 26.56%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.05%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.36%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 33.39%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
75.0%
Draw
13.8%
Stoke City
11.2%
116
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford
Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')
Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
Jan 3, 2017 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
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7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton121110924-154


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