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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.44%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
41.44% | 29.41% | 29.14% |
Both teams to score 42.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.83% | 64.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.69% | 83.3% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.44% | 30.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.21% | 66.78% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.08% | 38.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.36% | 75.64% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 14.09% 2-0 @ 8.36% 2-1 @ 7.89% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 0.98% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.31% Total : 41.44% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 11.88% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.4% | 0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.53% Total : 29.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |