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Championship | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2020 at 7pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
3 - 2
Stoke

Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')

The Match

Match Report

Ismaila Sarr had the last word to lift the Hornets into the play-off positions.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship fixture between Watford and Stoke City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
38.19%27.84%33.98%
Both teams to score 48.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.25%57.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.51%78.49%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73%29.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76%65.24%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08%31.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63%68.37%
Score Analysis
    Watford 38.18%
    Stoke City 33.98%
    Draw 27.83%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.35%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.98%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford
Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')
Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
Jan 3, 2017 8pm
Nov 27, 2016 12pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Amrabat (24'), Britos (26'), Holebas (40'), Behrami (93')
Britos (90')
Gomes (29' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
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Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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