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Championship | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2020 at 7pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
3 - 2
Stoke

Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')

The Match

Match Report

Ismaila Sarr had the last word to lift the Hornets into the play-off positions.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship fixture between Watford and Stoke City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
38.19%27.84%33.98%
Both teams to score 48.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.25%57.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.51%78.49%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73%29.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76%65.24%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08%31.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63%68.37%
Score Analysis
    Watford 38.18%
    Stoke City 33.98%
    Draw 27.83%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.35%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.98%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford
Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')
Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
Jan 3, 2017 8pm
Nov 27, 2016 12pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Amrabat (24'), Britos (26'), Holebas (40'), Behrami (93')
Britos (90')
Gomes (29' og.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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