Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Aston Villa |
27.33% | 25.51% | 47.15% |
Both teams to score 52.25% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.88% | 51.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.03% | 72.97% |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.72% | 33.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.11% | 69.89% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.32% | 21.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.17% | 54.83% |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 7.94% 2-1 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.33% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 8.43% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 4.3% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.35% Total : 47.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |