EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
AFC Wimbledon3 - 2Crawley
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crawley Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Stockport County | 9 | -3 | 8 |
17 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | -4 | 8 |
18 | Harrogate Town | 9 | -5 | 8 |
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Newport County | 9 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley Town | 9 | -5 | 6 |
21 | Colchester United | 9 | -6 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crawley Town |
42.57% ( -0) | 25.81% ( -0) | 31.63% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.8% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.74% ( 0) | 50.26% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% ( 0) | 72.21% ( -0) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% | 23.46% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.53% | 57.47% ( -0) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.28% ( 0) | 29.72% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.22% ( 0) | 65.78% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon 42.56%
Crawley Town 31.63%
Draw 25.8%
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 8.89% 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2% Total : 42.56% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.13% 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.63% |
How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Crawley
AFC Wimbledon
60.0%Draw
10.0%Crawley Town
30.0%10
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Apr 16, 2016 3pm
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Form Guide