EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
AFC Wimbledon3 - 2Crawley
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crawley Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Stockport County | 9 | -3 | 8 |
17 | AFC Wimbledon | 9 | -4 | 8 |
18 | Harrogate Town | 9 | -5 | 8 |
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Newport County | 9 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley Town | 9 | -5 | 6 |
21 | Colchester United | 9 | -6 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crawley Town |
42.57% ( -0) | 25.81% ( -0) | 31.63% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.8% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.74% ( 0) | 50.26% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% ( 0) | 72.21% ( -0) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% | 23.46% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.53% | 57.47% ( -0) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.28% ( 0) | 29.72% ( -0) |