EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Barnsley3 - 1Man City U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Barnsley and Manchester City Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Man City U21s 1-2 Chelsea U21s
Friday, September 22 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Friday, September 22 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Manchester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
60.63% ( -0.03) | 19.91% ( 0.01) | 19.46% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.51% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.6% ( -0) | 34.4% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.68% ( -0) | 56.32% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.94% ( -0.01) | 11.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.58% ( -0.02) | 35.42% ( 0.01) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( 0.01) | 30.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.88% ( 0.02) | 67.12% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Barnsley 60.63%
Manchester City Under-21s 19.46%
Draw 19.91%
| Barnsley | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.93% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.31% 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.02% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.01% Total : 60.63% | 1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.41% 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.91% | 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 19.46% |
Head to Head
Form Guide
