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Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 2, 2023 at 1pm UK
Newcastle United Football Academy

Newcastle U21s
0 - 4
Man City U21s

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lawrence (17'), Okeke (74'), Dickson (81', 90+3')
Okeke (66'), Alleyne (71')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Newcastle United Under-21s and Manchester City Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawManchester City Under-21s
27.94% (-0.465 -0.47) 20.7% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 51.35% (0.532 0.53)
Both teams to score 69.82% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.68% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)28.31% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.87% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)49.13% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (-0.292 -0.29)21.01% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.21% (-0.458 -0.46)53.79% (0.46 0.46)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.39% (0.137 0.14)11.61% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.39% (0.294 0.29)36.6% (-0.293 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United Under-21s 27.94%
    Manchester City Under-21s 51.35%
    Draw 20.7%
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawManchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-0 @ 3.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.97% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.94%
1-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.57% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.33% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.06% (0.075 0.07)
1-4 @ 3.41% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.66% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.19% (0.052 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.47% (0.03 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
2-5 @ 1.15% (0.014 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.94% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 51.35%

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