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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Barnsley |
26.56% ( -0.1) | 25.96% ( 0) | 47.47% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 50.3% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.61% ( -0.06) | 53.38% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.08% ( -0.05) | 74.92% ( 0.05) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.89% ( -0.11) | 35.11% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.14% ( -0.12) | 71.86% ( 0.12) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% ( 0.02) | 22.49% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.96% ( 0.03) | 56.04% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 26.56% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 47.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |