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Fleetwood Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
3 - 0
Aston Villa U21s

Saunders (3', 4', 15')
Matete (63'), Smith (75')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Revan (26'), Barry (75')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Fleetwood Town and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 86.94%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 3.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.78%) and 4-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.43%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 0-1 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawAston Villa Under-21s
86.94%9.31%3.74%
Both teams to score 39.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.98%30.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.76%51.24%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.41%4.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.27%18.73%
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.36%58.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.06%89.94%
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 86.93%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 3.75%
    Draw 9.31%
Fleetwood TownDrawAston Villa Under-21s
3-0 @ 13.14%
2-0 @ 12.78%
4-0 @ 10.12%
1-0 @ 8.3%
3-1 @ 7.01%
2-1 @ 6.83%
5-0 @ 6.24%
4-1 @ 5.41%
5-1 @ 3.33%
6-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 1.87%
6-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.44%
7-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 86.93%
1-1 @ 4.43%
0-0 @ 2.69%
2-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 9.31%
0-1 @ 1.44%
1-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 3.75%

rhs 2.0
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5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
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20Southampton2213181550-356


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