EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport1 - 2Cheltenham
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Newport County and Cheltenham Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Newport
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
35.82% ( -0.09) | 24.38% ( -0.35) | 39.8% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 59.92% ( 1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
