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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Newport County win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
23.57% ( -0.71) | 25.43% ( 0.8) | 51% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.09% ( -3.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.42% ( -3.8) | 53.58% ( 3.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.91% ( -3.3) | 75.09% ( 3.3) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.16% ( -2.74) | 37.83% ( 2.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.39% ( -2.76) | 74.61% ( 2.76) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.97% ( -1.55) | 21.03% ( 1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.18% ( -2.47) | 53.81% ( 2.47) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.57% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 1.12) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.45) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 12.4% ( 1.22) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.36) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.44% Total : 51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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