EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Brisbane Road
Leyton Orient4 - 1Newport
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Leyton Orient and Newport County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 3-2 Newport
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Newport County |
49.4% ( -3.06) | 25.31% ( 0.3) | 25.28% ( 2.75) |
| Both teams to score 51.16% ( 2.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
