Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Chelsea Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
62.29% ( 4.39)	19.82% ( -1.28)	17.89% ( -3.1)

Both teams to score 58.74% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.37% (

1.26)

36.63% (

-1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.22% (

1.36)

58.79% (

-1.35)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.71% (

1.62)

11.29% (

-1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.08% (

3.41)

35.92% (

-3.4)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.21% (

-2.35)

33.79% (

2.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.55% (

-2.63)

70.46% (

2.64)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 62.3%

Chelsea Under-21s 17.89%

Draw 19.82%

Oxford United	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.57) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.44) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.79) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.46) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.63) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.29) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.35) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.59% Total : 62.3%	1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.58) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.82%	1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.66) 0-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.55) 0-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.47) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.37) Other @ 2.9% Total : 17.89%