EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd5 - 0Chelsea U21s
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Oxford United and Chelsea Under-21s.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Chelsea U21s 2-2 Fulham U21s
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Goals
for
for
20
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Chelsea Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
62.29% ( 4.39) | 19.82% ( -1.28) | 17.89% ( -3.1) |
Both teams to score 58.74% ( -0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.37% ( 1.26) | 36.63% ( -1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.22% ( 1.36) | 58.79% ( -1.35) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.71% ( 1.62) | 11.29% ( -1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.08% ( 3.41) | 35.92% ( -3.4) |
Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.21% ( -2.35) | 33.79% ( 2.36) |