FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 0
Maidenhead

Bodin (15', 83')
Rodrigues (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mitchell-Lawson (46')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Oxford United and Maidenhead United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 3-2 Eastleigh
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 72.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 10.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.12%) and 3-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Oxford United in this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Maidenhead United
72.19% ( 0.01)	17.31% ( -0)	10.5% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 46.96% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.15% (

41.85% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.74% (

64.26% (

-0)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.78% (

10.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.46% (

0.01)

33.54% (

-0.01)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.3% (

-0.01)

47.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.99% (

-0.01)

83.01% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 72.19%

Maidenhead United 10.5%

Draw 17.31%

Oxford United	Draw	Maidenhead United
2-0 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.64% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.14% 4-0 @ 5.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.51% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.51% 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 72.19%	1-1 @ 8.23% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.88% 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 17.31%	0-1 @ 3.61% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.05% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 10.5%