EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2023 at 7pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
1 - 3
Oxford Utd

Simpson (4' pen.)
McWilliams (32'), McGowan (58')
Dyche (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Harris (15' pen., 61'), Edwards (48')
Murphy (44')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Northampton Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Wycombe
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Oxford United

While the visitors are the marginal favourites in this fixture, they will be without a few key personnel on the road. The U's may go on to qualify in this group, but we feel they will have to settle for a point in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Oxford United
39.23% ( 0.03)	26.07% ( -0)	34.7% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.83% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.38% (

50.61% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.47% (

72.52%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67% (

0.02)

25.33% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.89% (

0.02)

60.11% (

-0.02)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

-0.02)

27.92% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46% (

-0.02)

63.54% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 39.23%

Oxford United 34.7%

Draw 26.06%

Northampton Town	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.23%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.7%