EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Northampton1 - 3Oxford Utd
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Wycombe
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Oxford United
While the visitors are the marginal favourites in this fixture, they will be without a few key personnel on the road. The U's may go on to qualify in this group, but we feel they will have to settle for a point in this match. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Oxford United |
39.23% ( 0.03) | 26.07% ( -0) | 34.7% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
