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League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
Oxford United

Wigan
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Humphrys (17'), Lang (80')
Adeeko (20'), Shaw (60'), Lang (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (79'), Beadle (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Wigan
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Oxford United

Wigan produced a formidable defensive performance to earn all three points at Exeter, however there are questions of whether the Latics can do the same against Oxford this time around. The U's will be desperate to get back to winning ways after dropping points late on against Blackpool, and we believe the visitors will be victorious on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawOxford United
33.22% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 24.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 42.66% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.19% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.81% (0.030999999999999 0.03)42.19% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.4% (0.029000000000003 0.03)64.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.78% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65% (0.040000000000006 0.04)59.35% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.15% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 33.22%
    Oxford United 42.66%
    Draw 24.12%
Wigan AthleticDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 42.66%

How you voted: Wigan vs Oxford Utd

Wigan Athletic
Draw
Oxford United
Wigan Athletic
20.0%
Draw
6.7%
Oxford United
73.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Wigan
1-1
Oxford Utd
Lang (36')
Shinnie (49'), Lang (65')
Taylor (23')
Moore (34'), Kane (45+2'), Brannagan (65'), McNally (69')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Oxford Utd
2-3
Wigan
Williams (33'), Taylor (59')
Taylor (36'), McGuane (90+1')
Keane (8'), Power (32'), McClean (86')
Darikwa (30'), Power (36'), Naylor (44'), Whatmough (72'), McClean (90')
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Oxford Utd
2-1
Wigan
Winnall (72'), Moore (83')
Lang (57')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Wigan
1-2
Oxford Utd
Aasgaard (89')
James (83'), Merrie (90+8')
Taylor (61'), Henry (87')
Apr 17, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham40298373294495
2Wrexham422410859322782
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe422312767373081
4Stockport CountyStockport422211963372677
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4222101058382076
6Reading421912115951869
7Leyton Orient422061661431866
8Bolton WanderersBolton42206166362166
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield421971654441064
10Blackpool4115151163531060
11Barnsley42169176064-457
12Lincoln CityLincoln421413155749855
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham42159184853-554
14Stevenage411410173844-652
15Exeter CityExeter421410184558-1352
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough41139196272-1048
17Wigan AthleticWigan411114163539-447
18Mansfield TownMansfield41138204959-1047
19Northampton TownNorthampton421114174259-1747
20Burton Albion411012194459-1542
21Bristol Rovers42126244268-2642
22Crawley TownCrawley4299244981-3236
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge42811234066-2635
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4279263771-3430


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