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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
50.24% ( -0.05) | 24.05% ( 0.02) | 25.71% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 55.54% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.86% ( -0.05) | 46.14% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.56% ( -0.05) | 68.43% ( 0.05) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.59% ( -0.04) | 18.41% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.44% ( -0.07) | 49.56% ( 0.07) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.07% ( 0) | 31.93% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.62% ( 0) | 68.38% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Bristol Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 50.24% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 25.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 49 |
2 | Wrexham | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 48 |
3 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 47 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 43 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
6 | Reading | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 37 |
7 | Barnsley | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 36 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 34 |
9 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 33 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 31 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 31 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 29 |
15 | Blackpool | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 27 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 24 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 24 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 22 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 22 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 20 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 17 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Burton Albion | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 13 |
> League One Full Table |