Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.