Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
